Saturday, February 26, 2011

The Arab revolt - the theories ..............

1. They all know what they do not want ; but not many know want exactly they want .

2. They all hate someone ; but do not know whom to love or accept.

3. They are all 'pulled -in' with out knowing the centre ; but its actually a push of common hatred towards the ruling class.

4. Such revolts will feed on itself and even the establishment of a good democracy do not guarantee a repeat of such revolts not just in Arab world but across the world.

5. Face book/ twitter / Blogs etc gave the population the freedom of mind - to think , share and communicate in virtual world.
But the physical world around them did not allow that freedom to get manifested in action.

So mathematically

Freedom of Virtual world - bondage of Physical world = the revolt

Friday, February 25, 2011

In the Middle east - the Monarchies seems to survive and Presidents do not .............

That is the pattern emerging - Saudi, Jordan, Bahrain , UAE all Kings or Monarchies seems to be surviving .
Luckily they all seems to have some one or a cabinet to dismiss and reappoint some one else.
More than that , they are all declared Monarchies - no one , both citizens and kings ever said they are elected.
So there is no democracy , that is fine , importantly there is no Sham Democracy.

I think that is the issue with Presidents - they are all sham - claim to be elected , but not by majority.
Egypt, Tunisia, Libya etc are projected democracies for last 30/ 40 years with same person as ruler.

This hypocrisy is what people are revolting against; of course there are other issues too.

Are they not justified, they are ..........
but I still worry about the possible outcome with theocratic majority becoming the rulers .

Monday, February 21, 2011

If the Arab world rocks , can China be far behind ..............

Sounds strange ? What Connection?

I see many - the growing middle class in Chinese cities and the growth of media is the biggest challenge to
the current ruling class in China.

Exactly the mix which has challenged the rulers in Arab world leading to current unrest.

They have ordered the army/ police to nib everything protest at bud itself.
But how many buds can they keep ' nibbing'?
How long can they keep doing it ?

The Answer is blowing in the wind ..........................


If a division emerges in the Red army ( which is a clear possibility), that will be beginning of real 'People's Republic'


But there is difference with Arab world.
Most of the Chinese speak and understand only Chinese and that is actually a real help to the current ruling class.

Thursday, February 17, 2011

The widening 'Gulf' in the Gulf .............

In Egypt Mr Mubarak is out and the wind has blown over to Libya, Jordan, Bahrain, Iran etc.
What is common every where is the clear gulf between the people and the rulers - its alarming.

Even more alarming is the gulf emerging between the Shia Iran and Sunni rest - Bahrain is a classical case.
Its interesting to see that Hezbollah is propelled by Shia Iran to fight for Sunni causes in Palestine - making inroads.

Most of the Sunni rules are pro West, pro America. But for majority of population its 'evil west' , Iran is fishing in that muddy water.
Some how Iran is able to put down internal dissent with an Iron hand - no Sunni or western power to help the movements.


How all this is going to play out - God only knows. But there is turkey to look up to , I hope that model works for all.

Long live Democracy , the real one, not the might of theocratic majority.


Thank you.